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Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Dow Looks to Reconcile with Global Risk Trends, FX Markets Deal with Systemic Themes

The US equity indices have diverged widely from global peers and other risk trends through recent months. Will this incredible disparity balloon even further or perhaps start to converge in the week ahead as trade wars, monetary policy and political risk crowd the headlines?

New Zealand Dollar Forecast – New Zealand Dollar Braces as Emerging Markets, Stocks Vulnerable

New Zealand Dollar weakness could pick up pace as emerging markets and stocks still look vulnerable. It eyes Brazilian elections, IMF world economic outlook and perhaps trade wars.

Japanese Yen Forecast – Bearish RSI Signal Emerges Ahead of U.S. CPI

The near-term rally in USD/JPY appears to have stalled following the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report as the bullish momentum starts to abate.

British Pound Forecast – Sterling Building a Base on Brexit Hopes

Sterling continues to edge higher, against a range of currencies, as Brexit talk turn slightly more positive as both reiterate their intention to make a deal.

US dollar Forecast – US Dollar May Extend Rally on CPI, Churning Market Sentiment

The US Dollar may continue higher as September’s CPI data endorses a hawkish shift in Fed policy bets while churning sentiment trends drive haven demand.

Gold Forecast – Gold Price Outlook Complicated by Rising Bond Yields and Equity Rout

October has complicated the fundamental outlook for gold with diverging factors influencing the precious metal.

Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar Beset By Low Interest Rates, Trade-War Worries

The Australian Dollar has been hammered further against its US cousin and will be unable recover for as long as Aussie rates are seen as stuck at record lows.

Euro Forecast –

Equities Forecast – S&P 500, DAX & FTSE on Their Heels as New Week Set to Begin

Next week, stock markets could be in for more selling with leading U.S. stocks getting hit end of last week; calendar is light with risk trends being a big focus.

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the IG Client Sentiment readings on the sentiment page.

https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/gbp/2018/10/05/GBP-Sterling-Building-a-Base-on-Brexit-Hopes.html

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