What Powell has been thinking about Back in August, Fed Chairman Powell piled into off a ridiculous few months of global policymakers mulling about what neutral rates were, or r*. Well that wasn’t the only star on his mind. The WSJ writes that at the Fed’s Christmas party this week, Powell and Vice Chairman Richard Clarida
Bill Diviney Senior Economist at ABN AMRO, points out that current US growth rates are not sustainable. They see that cooling investment, fading fiscal stimulus, and Federal Reserve tightening are likely to drive a slowdown, but not a recession. Key Quotes: “We expect a significant slowing in growth momentum over the coming year, but a
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How do they leave it for the week? The European stocks ending the day with declines for the day. In fact, they never traded in the black. Having said that, they did recover off of lower levels. They were still down, but not so negative. For the US, as London/Europe exit, the US indices are
Mikael Olai Milhøj, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, sees the Federal Reserve raising rates next week and considers it could implement changes to the forward guidance. Key Quotes: “We expect the Fed to raise rates again when the committee meets next week. This would bring the target range to 2.25-2.50%, i.e. the lower end of
Some overhead resistance to get through. Adam posted Morgan Stanley’s view that the dollar would head lower. They cite some plausible reasons for their assessment, but as most people realize, what we think most times does not play out the way we think. That is especially true when we face things like China/US, Brexit, US/Europe,
Trend line and swing area being tested The USDJPY has tilted lower in the current bar after a try higher stalled out. The pair is down testing a trend line on the hourly chart and a swing area from this weeks trading at the 113.48-517 area. A move below would be more bearish. Stay above,
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US Dollar Talking Points: – The US Dollar is testing fresh yearly highs to continue this week’s move of strength, and this follows an early-week support test at the key Fibonacci level of 96.47. The big question at this point is how long might bulls be able to push, as a major USD event sits
The pair makes a break outside the box Looking at the hourly chart for the AUDUSD, the pair has been trading in a box going back to December 5th. The buyers tried to take control yesterday. The price moved above the 100 day MA (at 0.7224 today) and even took out the highs from Dec
Strong data out of the US The EURUSD has moved to new session lows after some pretty decent retail sales data. The headline numbers beat expectations with the control group up a strong 0.9% after a 0.7% revised gain in the prior month (from 0.3%). Looking at the daily chart above the EURUSD is trading
The USD is stronger as global risk flows head to safety Overnight, China retail sales were the worst in 15 years and that has spooked the stock markets again. As a result, the flow of funds is heading to the safety of the JPY and USD (strongest) and out of the AUD and NZD (weakest
GBP/JPY touches a low of 142.61 on the day ForexLive Price is now leaning on support from the September lows @ 142.60 after buyers failed to firmly take out the support-turned-resistance level from the 28 June low @ 143.78 over the past two trading days. It’s a bit of a double whammy for GBP/JPY today
Alison Donnelly speaks to reporters in London EU summit is just the start of the process on backstop There is a shared determination to find a way through May wants vote as soon as possible in January ForexLive They continue to sound optimistic in their talks with the EU but so far there hasn’t been
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny speaks about the inflation and growth outlook during his speech in Vienna. Key Headlines: Risks to growth are broadly balanced. Inflation is seen trending in-line with ECB goal. Core inflation trend is going in the right direction. Takes a very critical view of buying corporate
EUR/USD falls to a low of 1.1309 ForexLive If the ECB was hesitant to change its risks outlook from “broadly balanced” to “tilted to the downside” yesterday, there’s more reason for them to consider doing so now after the numbers here. Yes, sure these are just survey data but the trend doesn’t lie. The downwards
GBP/USD is threatening a break of the 100-hour moving average ForexLive The pair falls to a session low of 1.2591 as the pound is losing some ground while the dollar is also advancing across the board. The greenback has worked its way to session highs for the day now after weak French data is compounding
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TALKING POINTS – EUR/SEK, SWEDISH PARLIAMENT, RIKSBANK Riksdag accepts budget from center-right parties – fiscal expansion expected Sweden’s parliament will vote on Stefan Lofven as new PM on December 14 Markets are pricing in February rate hike after disappointing economic data See our free guide to learn how to use economic news in your trading
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) has trimmed its purchases of the Japanese government bonds (JGBs) maturing in 5 to 10 years for the first time since June, possibly to alleviate the recent downside pressure on the yields. The central bank has reportedly offered to buy JPY 430 billion worth of JGBs maturing in 5 to 10
Time for a check on consumer health It’s a critical time of year for the US consumer and with markets already in a delicate spot, upcoming data is especially critical. The November US retail sales report is due on Friday and expected to rise 0.1% compared to a 0.8% jump in November. One thing that will
Oil up 2.7% today WTI crude is up $1.40 to $52.55 today in part due to reports that Saudi has cut exports to the US scheduled for January. In the bigger picture, there isn’t any reason to be particularly optimistic but there are some signs of a bottom; or at least a temporary one. Daily
Better jobless numbers got the ball rolling. As per the post, That is where the price ended up going and stalling (high reached 113.704). What now? The buyers have been in control, but the pair targeted. It hit the target and the momentum stalled. If the buyers are going to remain in control, the
Was ist Forex? | Traden lernen für Anfänger | deutsch In diesem Video zeige ich Dir, was der FOREX alias Foreign Exchange Markt. Wie findet der Devisenhandel, also der Austausch von Währungen statt. Das Ganze zeige ich Dir an einem einfachen Beispiel. Wie groß ist der Forex Markt im Gegensatz zum Aktienmarkt? Was bedeutet die
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